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The upper-level low and surface trough in the Gulf of Mexico continues to drift slowly west towards the Texas coast, accompanied by a large pool of moisture. This situation is increasingly viewed by the National Weather Service and Weather Prediction Center as likely to produce heavy to exce…

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I was going to write a blog yesterday about the system, Invest 95, over the southeast Bahamas (which has potential development) and another (Invest 94) with some potential for tropical development as well. However, at that point in time, the model forecasts showed very little agreement about…