July has begun on a very different note than June. Through the first six days of June, Galveston had already received 4.14 inches of rain. By contrast, no rain has been reported at either Scholes Field in Galveston or the National Weather Service Office in League City.
Looking ahead, it appears as though July will be quite different from June overall. The total of 10.14 inches last month at Scholes Field gave Galveston its wettest June since 2004. Perhaps even more pleasing for some, June, 2017 was the coolest June since 1989 with an 81.1° average for the month.
By contrast, July is off to a warmer than average start with plenty of sunshine and warm temperatures likely over the next two weeks. Although we will see the typical scattered thundershowers, characteristic of this time of year, the heavy rains we saw in June appear unlikely for at least the next week or two.
June did bring us minor impacts from Tropical Storm Cindy with elevated tides, wind gusts of 42-mph in Galveston and about 1 ½ inch of rain. What will July bring? Typically, the peak season begins in August and September, with only an occasional hurricane or tropical storm in July. The last July storm to have much impact locally was Hurricane Claudette, which moved ashore on the middle Texas coast in 2003 bringing 54-mph wind gusts and some flooding on the West End of Galveston with tides 5-8 feet above average lower low water level.
Looking ahead, both the European and the GFS forecast models are hinting at a potent tropical system moving into the Caribbean in about two weeks. Forecasts that far out in time, however, are quite speculative and can often change. Still, it is a reminder not to drop our guard if the first couple of weeks of July seem relatively tame. Otherwise, look for fairly typical July weather to continue.