The first few days of Spring Break have played out pretty much as anticipated, with light rain last weekend followed by a decent cool front that brought sunny skies, but somewhat chilly conditions for the first half of this week.
Looking ahead, mild weather with only modest rain prospects seem likely through this coming weekend. Low level high pressure now over Arkansas will move east, allowing winds to veer around to the southeast and south over the coming few days. This will result in increasing clouds tomorrow into Friday with a chance of light showers possible for Friday through Sunday as moisture levels increase and weak upper-level disturbances track across the region.
Although a weak cold front will reach the coast by Monday, this next front doesn't appear to have quite the punch that our latest front have with only a modest cool down for early next week. In fact, intermediate range models suggest that warmer than normal temperatures will prevail over most of Texas for the next couple of weeks.
It may surprise some, that despite our recent spring cold front, temperatures so far this month are running more than 6 degrees above normal in Galveston and more than 4 degrees above in League City. There is no reason, at this point, to assume that the rest of this month will be very different.
In other words, spring-like weather seems likely to stay, even if the calendar insists that spring has yet to arrive.