Yogi Berra once quipped: “it’s like déjà vu all over again.” That can certainly describe our weather. Clouds, showers, mist and some fog rolled into Galveston County today right on schedule as a surface low and warm front developed along the coast overnight and an upper-level low and trough moves east through the region.

Current surface map

Current surface map

Current upper-level map

Current upper-level map

In addition, another couple of cold fronts will bring chilly (though not necessarily frigid for this time of year) to the County on Wednesday and Thursday, with temperatures dropping into the 30s on the mainland and the low 40s near the coast. Fortunately, freezing temperatures are expected to remain generally north and west of the county.

WPC Fronts
Next Freeze?

Looking ahead, the next seven days promise more of the same. With milder conditions and another upper-level trough moving through this weekend, followed, of course, by another cold front, though that cold front won’t bring as much of a chill as the one this week.

Day 4 500 MB Forecast
Day 4 SFC Prog

So, what do the longer-term models tell us about Christmas Eve and Christmas Day?

While there are some differences in timing, they both suggest milder conditions by Wednesday into early Christmas Eve, with a chance of rain, followed by a cold front late Christmas Eve, leading to chilly conditions on Christmas Day and much of the following weekend.

In other words: Déjà vu all over again!

Stan Blazyk is a life-long weather enthusiast, long-time Galveston resident and author of "A Century of Galveston Weather." He has written about weather for The Daily News for more than a decade.

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