Sunday cold front projection

Sunday cold front projection

A sure sign of the changing season is the appearance of annual hurricane preparedness meetings. This year’s round kicked off in League City last Saturday and continues with a meeting in Santa Fe this evening (see link). Other meetings will be in Galveston on Saturday, Friendswood on June 1 and June 5. Additional meetings are planned for San Leon, Kemah, Hitchcock and Jamaica Beach in mid to late June. These meetings are an excellent way to learn what local officials have in mind for hurricane and/or evacuation planning, as well as to find out what new forecast products may be used by the National Hurricane Center.

Meanwhile, with but 0.28 inch of rain in Galveston and 0.20 of an inch in League City, Galveston County is having its driest May to date since 2009. Will this weekend bring any change in this pattern?

The answer to this question lies in the progress of a weak cold front due to move across Texas on Saturday and Sunday. With fairly deep moisture in place and an upper-level low moving into the Plains, rain chances will be on the rise over the weekend. Currently it appears as though most of the rain with this will be off to the north and west of Galveston County, through rain chances will increase slowly from north to west across the County on Saturday and Sunday. Based on current trends, Saturday looks mostly dry near the coast with a better chance of rain by Sunday. Nevertheless, rainfall amounts are not expected to be especially heavy in our area.

Looking further ahead, a second cold front may bring another shot at rain by Tuesday. At least, that is what my Master Gardiner wife is hoping!

• Area Hurricane Preparedness Meetings

• 7 day precipitation outlook

Weather Blogger

Stan Blazyk is a life-long weather enthusiast, long-time Galveston resident and author of "A Century of Galveston Weather." He has written the weather blog for the Galveston County Daily News for more than a decade.

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