Relatively warm, stable air flowing in from the Gulf of Mexico will result in periods of fog, a mixture of clouds and sun and mild to warm temperatures through Thursday. However, an upper-level low off the California coast will slowly work its way east over the coming week, leading to a gradual increase in rain chances.

500mb Heights

Initially, rain chances will be enhanced by a weak cold front due to drift south across Texas on Thursday, before stalling in the Gulf of Mexico by Friday. This, combined with upper-level disturbances moving across the region, along the southwest winds aloft should give us a decent shot at some showers and isolated thunderstorms late Thursday into Friday.

National Forecast Chart
WPC Day 4 SFC PROG
24-HR DAY 3 QPF

A better chance of rain will appear on Saturday through early Monday as the upper-level low moves northeastward across Texas and a cold front pushes southward across the state. This round of rain could produce some heavy rainfall and possible severe weather. At present, however, the highest chances for heavy rain or severe weather will be off to the north of Galveston County. Since there is some difference among the models, this will bear watching as we get closer to the weekend.

48 HR DAY 4-5 QPF
WPC DAY 6 SFC PROG
gfs_namer_116_500_wnd_ht

In other words, typical April weather has settled in over Texas with generally mild temperatures and periods of unsettled weather.

Stan Blazyk is a life-long weather enthusiast, long-time Galveston resident and author of "A Century of Galveston Weather." He has written about weather for The Daily News for more than a decade.

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(2) comments

Dan Dundee

Thanks for some regular ol' weather news, Stan. A lot better than most of what else is out there!

Stan Blazyk Staff
Stan Blazyk

And thank you for the feedback!

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