Wintry Precipitation Possible

Although somewhat unlikely, we find ourselves in a winter pattern this morning similar to those that have produced sleet or snow in Galveston County over the years. One major difference is that temperatures are running 5-10 degrees warmer than is typical for such snow or sleet events over Southeast Texas.

Still we find ourselves with a possibility that Galveston County residents could see some sleet pellets or snowflakes this evening or overnight. The chances of any accumulations locally, however, are quite slim. Most likely the sleet or snow would be melting as it falls, with ground level temperatures and soil temperatures too warm to support any accumulations or icing.

Nevertheless, an upper-level disturbance tracking east from northern Mexico and southwest Texas, is producing snow and sleet over the mountains of northern Mexico and southwest Texas and reports of a few flurries have even popped up around the Del Rio and southwest Hill Country as well as closer to San Antonio.

WPC Probabilistic Winter Precipitation Guidance

What makes the situation intriguing is a reinforcing surge of colder air expected to reach Galveston County tonight. With precipitation lingering near the coast, this may be just enough to allow some of the snow and sleet to reach the ground before melting.

National Forecast Charts

So, while the chances of seeing this remain somewhat remote, it is certainly something that cannot be ruled out completely as of this morning.

Weather Blogger

Stan Blazyk is a life-long weather enthusiast, long-time Galveston resident and author of "A Century of Galveston Weather." He has written the weather blog for the Galveston County Daily News for more than a decade.

(2) comments

Gary Miller

Thanks Stan. I'll put off buying a new snow shovel and wife can go ahead and cook the carrot she was saving for our snow man. I've recorded a little over 6 inches of rain this week. South side of TC.

Stan Blazyk Staff
Stan Blazyk

Thanks for the humor and the rainfall report. Do you participate in Cocorahs?

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