September 2019 went into the record books as the hottest month ever observed in Galveston, where the 86.1° monthly average topped the previous all-time mark set in 2005. Three of the last four Septembers have made the top ten hottest September list (with records going back to 1871).

And it was not just hot in Galveston, Houston Intercontinental, Dallas-Fort Worth and Denver, Colorado (to name just a few locales) all reported their hottest ever Septembers.

So, the question is: when will we see a touch of fall locally?

If the forecast models are correct, we may see a “real” cold front move into our area around this coming Monday and Tuesday. While it is not expected to be an unusually chilly push of cooler air, it should at least nudge temperatures down to normal for this time of year and bring in much lower humidity levels. By Tuesday, inland areas of the County could have lows in the 60’s, with near 70 degrees right at the coast.

Minimum Temperature Forecast

In addition, we may actually see slightly cooler conditions this weekend prior to the frontal passage, as winds veer to the east and northeast as a tropical low and trough moves across the Yucatan into the southern Gulf of Mexico.

Five-Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
72 Hour Surface Forecast

Currently, the National Hurricane Center gives this disturbance a 10% chance for development as It moves west-northwest. Fortunately, the advancing front should keep any system bottled up well to our south.

WPC Day 6 SFC PROG

Nevertheless, I will keep a close eye on this system as Gulf storms can develop rapidly this time of year. Still, I think our most likely outcome is a long-awaited push of cool, dry weather for our area by next week!

Stan Blazyk is a life-long weather enthusiast, long-time Galveston resident and author of "A Century of Galveston Weather." He has written about weather for The Daily News for more than a decade.

(6) comments

Charlotte O'rourke

Here’s hoping, Stan.



70s sound wonderful.

Steve Fouga

Stan, did you really mean this September was the hottest MONTH ever in Galveston, or just the hottest September? Was the temperature you quoted the average high, or the average day-long temperature?

Bailey Jones

Hottest September. If you follow the link you can look at hottest Augusts - and they're hotter. There's also a year average - 2016, 2017 and 2018 all made the 10 hottest.

Stan Blazyk Staff
Stan Blazyk

Sorry, if I wasn't clear. It was the hottest September ever, not the hottest month ever (that record was set in August, 2005....though this August came in with the second hottest August ever....and ironically.... the 2nd hottest month ever recorded in Galveston).

Steve Fouga

Thanks!

Lew Fincher

Speaking of October storms, when was the last two or three October tropical cyclones for our area? I like your new title, Weather Man Stan. Thanks once again for sharing your knowledge.

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