A cold front currently moving southward across Texas will bring showers and thunderstorms to our area later today and tonight along with markedly cooler temperatures. Rainfall could average 2 inches or more over much of the County with precipitation lingering near the coast much of tomorrow.…

Milder temperatures have returned to the County as temperatures climb back into the 70’s, along with some clouds and a few light showers. This mild spell is likely to continue until late Thursday or early Friday when a fairly robust push of colder air moves across the region. Storms ahead an…

Moist air flowing back into the area will bring increasing clouds, milder temperatures and a slight chance of rain through tomorrow as a mostly stationary cold front over North and West Texas drifts south before stalling. Southwest winds aloft related to a low pressure trough digging southwe…

Although the two major global models (the American “GFS” and the European “ECMWF”) have come into somewhat closer alignment, much uncertainty remains about the details for the weather from late tomorrow night into Saturday evening. This is especially true with respect to amounts and timing o…

As of 11:00 a.m. CDT, the National Hurricane Center is issuing updates on Potential Tropical Cyclone #16, expected to form out of a 1007 MB low pressure area currently merging with the cold front in the Gulf of Mexico about 140 miles east of Tampico, Mexico. The system could be upgraded to a…

Warm weather has returned to Southeast Texas along with southerly winds and increasing humidity levels. This is in the wake of widespread rains over the County yesterday that ranged from 1 ½ inches to 3 inches on the Island to generally less than an inch over most inland areas. The rain was …

Our recent cold wave brought long-awaited relief from our extended summer heat. The 70° low Thursday morning in Galveston was the coolest temperature on the Island since June 17, while low temperatures across mainland areas of the County ranged from the low to mid-60’s.

September 2019 went into the record books as the hottest month ever observed in Galveston, where the 86.1° monthly average topped the previous all-time mark set in 2005. Three of the last four Septembers have made the top ten hottest September list (with records going back to 1871).

Based upon forecasts for the next five days, this month is a lock to go into the record books as the warmest September ever observed in Galveston County. With a monthly average of 86.1° (3.8° above normal) this handily eclipses the previous September monthly record of 84° set in 2005. Three …

As of 1 pm, CDT, the National Hurricane Center upgraded the depression near the Texas coast to Tropical Storm Imelda. Tropical Storm Warnings are in effect for the Galveston area as the system tracks slowly north .

The upper-level low and surface trough in the Gulf of Mexico continues to drift slowly west towards the Texas coast, accompanied by a large pool of moisture. This situation is increasingly viewed by the National Weather Service and Weather Prediction Center as likely to produce heavy to exce…

An upper-level low that has tracked across north Florida into the eastern Gulf of Mexico could bring a distinct change to our weather by late Sunday into the middle of next week. The system, which is non-tropical in origin, has been given a 30% chance by the National Hurricane Center of deve…

I was going to write a blog yesterday about the system, Invest 95, over the southeast Bahamas (which has potential development) and another (Invest 94) with some potential for tropical development as well. However, at that point in time, the model forecasts showed very little agreement about…

It will come as no surprise to most that last month brought the 2nd hottest August ever to the Island (exceeded only by 2011 with records going back to 1871. In fact, all the top ten have occurred since 1995. The monthly August average in Galveston was 87.8°, which was 2.8° above long-term n…

We will get an increased chance of scattered showers or thunderstorms through Wednesday as deeper moisture flows into Southeast Texas.

Despite sustained winds increasing to 150-mph in Hurricane Dorian this morning and with intensification possible to Category 5 levels, the overall trends have been favorable for Florida. The official track forecast issued at 11 am by the National Hurricane Center has the core of the dangerou…

Unfortunately, we are in a situation where a lot of “ifs’ present themselves when trying to determine exactly what weather we will have over the next week or two. We are in a pattern where a few small changes can result in very different outcomes locally.

Yesterday, Galveston saw record heat for the day with the muggy morning low of 86° and afternoon high of 96°exceeding the previous record temperatures for the day. League City, likewise, felt the heat with the overnight temperature dropping to only 82°, followed by an afternoon high of 94°. …

Temperatures so far this month have averaged 3.3° above normal in Galveston and 4.0° above at League City. This, combined with the fact that both locations have received less than half the amount of precipitation normally expected through the first 12 days of August, more or less sums up of our current situation weather-wise.