Although not technically a tropical storm yet, the National Hurricane Center has issued a Tropical Storm Warning for the southeast Louisiana coast and a Tropical Storm Watch from southwest Louisiana to High Island, Texas. At 4 pm, the center of Potential Tropical Storm #3 was located 380 miles south-southeast of Morgan City, Louisiana. Sustained winds were estimated at 40-mph, mostly to the east of the center. Barometric pressure was 1002 MB (29.59 inches). The system is currently moving north at 9-mph.

How this system impacts our local area is highly dependent on whether it makes landfall east of us as expected (see graphs), or further west on the Texas coast as some models continue to suggest. In any case, the major impacts currently expected near and east of the landfall would be heavy rains, strong winds and elevated tides.

Currently, landfall is expected to be over southwest Louisiana sometime late Wednesday.

However, this is all subject to some revision, so I suggest that you heed statements from the local National Weather Service and the National Hurricane Center over the next couple of days.

Stan Blazyk is a life-long weather enthusiast, long-time Galveston resident and author of "A Century of Galveston Weather." He has written the weather blog for the Galveston County Daily News for more than a decade.

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