Winter Average Temperatures

Winter Average Temperatures

Despite the dense fog this morning and a chance of showers and thunderstorms this evening, the outlook for the rest of this week is quite good. We should have two or  three days of sunny, mild weather for the end of the week, as a weak cold front moves through Texas on Tuesday night leading to clear skies, low humidity and mild afternoon temperatures.

Christmas may be another matter. A strong cold front will reach the coast sometime either late Friday or early on Christmas Eve, depending on your model forecast of choice. In any case, the front should be accompanied by cold rain, windy conditions and high temperatures in the 40s and 50s through Monday.

For those wishing for a White Christmas, temperatures are projected to be too warm to support much, if any, in the way of frozen precipitation

Day 5 fronts & pressures

Day 5 temperatures

Day 6 temperatures

Days 1-7 rainfall forecast   

Although rain and clouds will linger awhile behind the front near the coast, skies should begin to clear on Christmas Day or Tuesday.

Looking further ahead, both the European and the GFS models are suggesting a return to at least seasonably mild conditions as we move toward New Year’s Day. The European, however, is tending to keep us dry, while the GFS is suggesting a rainy New Year’s Eve.

Any forecast that far ahead is likely to be revised, however, so it is too soon to fret about whether it will rain or not on New Year’s Eve.

In the meanwhile, enjoy our brief mild spell before winter returns for Christmas.

Stan Blazyk is a life-long weather enthusiast, long-time Galveston resident and author of "A Century of Galveston Weather." He has written the weather blog for the Galveston County Daily News for more than a decade.

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