I’ve always felt that true summer begins when the overnight lows fail to drop below 80 degrees on the Island and struggle to get much below that mark on the mainland. At that point, the weather outside begins to feel downright muggy as I can attest after walking my dogs. With high humidity levels and winds forecast to decrease over the next few days, I can safely say that heat awareness will be an important factor in the days to come.

As I mentioned in a blog last week, there is a chance the Caribbean Sea and Gulf of Mexico will become more active by early next week. Currently, the National Hurricane Center is giving a 20% of tropical development over the coming 5-days in this region.

Fortunately, most models show this feature either remaining weak and/or moving into the Mexican coast. This later scenario would mostly likely have little impact on us, though an attendant surge of deep Gulf moisture might lead to an increase in precipitation next week.

Nevertheless, this is a reminder that now is the time to think about hurricane and tropical storm plans and to consider what steps would be necessary if we suddenly find ourselves facing a tropical threat this summer.

Stan Blazyk is a life-long weather enthusiast, long-time Galveston resident and author of "A Century of Galveston Weather." He has written the weather blog for the Galveston County Daily News for more than a decade.

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