60-hour Forecast Map
NOAA Weather Prediction Center

Certainly spring break week has begun on a much cooler note than many would want. In fact, the 51 degree low this morning in Galveston equaled the coolest temperature seen during the entire month of February.

Still, bright sun and winds veering around to the east and southeast will allow temperatures to quickly rebound into the 70s over the county by Wednesday and Thursday.

As always, there are a couple of flies in the ointment. One is that the high pressure now sliding off to the east will settle in over the Gulf of Mexico, while a surface low moves across the Central Plains. This will create a tight pressure gradient between the area of highest pressure and the area of lowest pressure, resulting in some rather brisk east to southeast winds up to 25 mph along the coast by Thursday.

So the resultant wind chill will make temperatures seem somewhat cooler than the actual readings. In addition, the winds may be strong enough along the coast to prompt small-craft advisories, high surf and dangerous undertows.

Finally, there will also be some chance of showers as we move through the last half of the week as the strong winds will also bring in a fair amount of low-level moisture. The good news is that the best chance for rain will be further down the coast.

Despite these factors, I still think that weather for this week will be good overall, if you don’t mind some breezy conditions and a slight chance of showers.

Low-level wind map

Stan Blazyk is a life-long weather enthusiast, long-time Galveston resident and author of "A Century of Galveston Weather." He has written the weather blog for the Galveston County Daily News for more than a decade.

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