The latest system to roll through Texas failed again to bring any meaningful precipitation to Galveston County. With the long, hot days of summer looming, our chances for slipping into severe drought conditions are certainly on the high side.

Still there may be some hope for relief this coming week, as an approaching cold front and upper-level low pressure trough, combined with deep low level moisture should give us another chance at significant rain around Tuesday.

At least that is what the latest GFS Model thinks and the forecast models, in general, seem to be saying. Of course, we’ve seen our hopes dashed already on several occasions this spring.

In any case, we better hope this one pans out because the very same models are not projecting much rain through the 25th of May. On the other hand, they are suggesting that we will see a couple of cool fronts over the next two weeks, so I guess we will not slip too quickly into summer-tine temperatures.

Below are links related to this blog:

7 -day precipitation outlook

Texas drought monitor map

6-10 day temperature and precipitation forecast

Stan Blazyk is a life-long weather enthusiast, long-time Galveston resident and author of "A Century of Galveston Weather." He has written the weather blog for the Galveston County Daily News for more than a decade.

(8) comments

Stan Blazyk Staff
Stan Blazyk

Maybe we will still get our "first chance". A slot of drier, stable air has been keeping rain away so far today, but some fairly impressive storms are developing off to our west. We shall see!

Robert Buckner

I just looked at the radar Stan. From what I see, you are again on the mark as usual

Stan Blazyk Staff
Stan Blazyk

Oh well. We got some rain, but it was far from what was needed. Measurements ranged from a trace at Scholes Field to 0.05" further east. On the mainland, precipitation totals ranged generally less than 0.10", though one location near Friendswood reported 0.15".

On the other hand, there was one heavy shower along the Seawall west of 61st, but have seen no official measurements on this.

Robert Buckner

We missed out again, maybe next time.

Stan Blazyk Staff
Stan Blazyk

If we miss out on this next one, then we better watch out, because there is nothing on the horizon promising much rain beyond that. Still, I am hopeful that something will develop (down the road (not in the Gulf) if we miss out this at this next chance.

Robert Buckner

That next front looks promising

Robert Buckner

Some rain at my place, I hope it can last a few hours and soak in. I hope the Brazos river can collect some of these showers.

George Croix

So far, about a half inch of chance in my guage...

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