A weather pattern is developing that should keep cold air around Galveston County through the middle of next week. In fact, longer term forecasts suggest mostly chilly, cloudy, wet weather will persist into the third weekend of December with only brief spells of sunshine and somewhat milder temperatures.

The good news from all of this is that icy precipitation should stay well north of our area this weekend and that rainfall this weekend may not be quite as abundant as projected by earlier forecasts. Still, a reinforcing surge of cold air should reach the coast by Monday or Tuesday, keeping our chill around. We may see some clearing skies behind the front with temperatures moderating gradually through the end of next week. Beyond that, more rain appears likely by next weekend as a coastal trough and low develops.

Looking even further ahead, the latest GFS model develop has yet another front moving by the third weekend of December with heavier rain possible with this system. If you want to look at this outlook optimistically, I guess you can view it as opportunity to wear our seldom used winter clothes and experience some real winter. After all, does a warm Holiday Season really seem right?

Below are links to sites related to this blog:

NWS graphic on wintry precipitation outlook

7-day low temperature forecast loop

Day 4-7 precipitation outlook

6-10 temperature and precipitation forecast

Stan Blazyk is a life-long weather enthusiast, long-time Galveston resident and author of "A Century of Galveston Weather". He has written the weather blog for the Galveston County Daily News for more than a decade.

(3) comments

Steve Fouga

"After all, does a warm Holiday Season really seem right?"

Not really right, but to be cherished nonetheless!

[cool]

Stan Blazyk
Stan Blazyk

You are right. As much as I grumbled about sweating in my Dickens outfit last year (with the mercury reaching 79 degrees), I might be willing to take that this year instead of what we have!

sverige1
Lars Faltskog

I vote to leave the cold weather up north. At any rate, I wouldn't be surprised if we either spend Winter Solstice (Dec 21 thereabouts) and/or New Years with a return of warm weather. This is Gulf Coast Texas after all!

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