With one more day of warmer than normal temperatures likely, February, 2017 is set to go in the record books as the warmest ever in Galveston. Through Sunday, the monthly average was 67.1° (or 9.7° above normal). In League City, with a shorter length of record, the monthly average is running a spring-like 10.2° warmer than usual. Perhaps even more remarkable, the minimum temperature for February in Galveston was only 51° for the month, marking the first time in 145 years of continuous observations that the mercury has failed to dip below 50° in February.

So what can we expect moving forward? Looking at the intermediate-term models, mild weather will continue overall, though we will see a brief cool-down for the later part of this week and perhaps another cool snap late next week. Neither appears to be all that impressive. Although we will have a chance of rain through Wednesday ahead of the advancing cold front, amounts are expected to be modest here as the energy for storms remains mostly to our north.

We will see a somewhat better chance of rain this weekend into early next week as a warm front, a surface low and a surge of deep moisture appear. But the models have been trending somewhat drier for this event, so we will have to wait to see what develops there.

In any case, the winter of 2016-17 is about to enter the record books as the warmest ever. Certainly the plants in our yard are already moving well into spring mode!

Seven day precipitation outlook

Day 5 surface forecast map

Stan Blazyk is a life-long weather enthusiast, long-time Galveston resident and author of "A Century of Galveston Weather." He has written the weather blog for the Galveston County Daily News for more than a decade.

(4) comments

PD Hyatt

More hype from people who know nothing about the past.... How can you make a statement "In any case, the winter of 2016-17 is about to enter the record books as the warmest ever" when you nor anyone has been around for ever.... Shouldn't you have put it for the last 145 years that we have on record and that is subject to debate since I would imagine that the 1900 storm wiped out a lot of those records....

Stan Blazyk Staff
Stan Blazyk

I should have said warmest ever "recorded", but I think most people understood that.

PD Hyatt

Next article you will probably start telling everyone that the ocrean levels are rising just like NOAA has been spewing forth....

Steve Fouga

Yeah, Stan probably meant the past 145 years, not literally forever. I knew what he meant, but then when I read PD's comment I had to laugh. It's definitely true that nobody truly knows the warmest February EVER. [beam]

As for the sea level, I'm most concerned with Galveston because I live here. It's rising, but I doubt I'll live long enough for it to drown me. It's already affecting my insurance rates, though. That makes it real enough for me.

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