With one more day of warmer than normal temperatures likely, February, 2017 is set to go in the record books as the warmest ever in Galveston. Through Sunday, the monthly average was 67.1° (or 9.7° above normal). In League City, with a shorter length of record, the monthly average is running a spring-like 10.2° warmer than usual. Perhaps even more remarkable, the minimum temperature for February in Galveston was only 51° for the month, marking the first time in 145 years of continuous observations that the mercury has failed to dip below 50° in February.
So what can we expect moving forward? Looking at the intermediate-term models, mild weather will continue overall, though we will see a brief cool-down for the later part of this week and perhaps another cool snap late next week. Neither appears to be all that impressive. Although we will have a chance of rain through Wednesday ahead of the advancing cold front, amounts are expected to be modest here as the energy for storms remains mostly to our north.
We will see a somewhat better chance of rain this weekend into early next week as a warm front, a surface low and a surge of deep moisture appear. But the models have been trending somewhat drier for this event, so we will have to wait to see what develops there.
In any case, the winter of 2016-17 is about to enter the record books as the warmest ever. Certainly the plants in our yard are already moving well into spring mode!