8-14 day precipitation outlook

8-14 day precipitation outlook

It is no exaggeration to say it has been wet in Galveston County so far this month. Both League City and Galveston have had measurable rain on 8 of the first 9 days of August, with 1.82” early this morning bringing Galveston’s monthly total to 3.52”.

There does appear to be some relief in store for the rain weary. An upper-level high pressure ridge building into the area by this weekend should result more sun and lower chances of rain. Unfortunately, the damp soil, still relatively moist air and more sunshine will result in muggy, hot weather through at least the middle of next week. And, if the longer term outlook holds, could bring drier than normal conditions through the next couple of weeks. On the good news side, the intermediate forecast models seem to keep significant tropical activity out of the Gulf of Mexico over that period as well.

7 day precipitation outlook

Meanwhile, to our south, Tropical Storm Franklin is on the verge of becoming the first hurricane in the Gulf and the Tropical Atlantic Basin this season. Hurricane Warnings are in effect for the coast of Mexico from Puerto de Veracruz to Cabo Rojo.

Locally, Franklin should have little impact as it tracks west into Mexico. We will probably see some swells along the coast, tides running about one to one and one-half foot above normal levels and seas up to 7 feet off shore. High winds and flood producing rains, however, will be a threat for portions of the Mexican coast near the path of the storm.

Galveston Pier 21 tidal gauge graph

South Padre tidal gauge graph

Offshore forecast for Upper-Texas coast

Stan Blazyk is a life-long weather enthusiast, long-time Galveston resident and author of "A Century of Galveston Weather." He has written the weather blog for the Galveston County Daily News for more than a decade.

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