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May weather, rain and an early start to the Hurricane season? - The Galveston County Daily News: Weather Watch

October 22, 2016

May weather, rain and an early start to the Hurricane season?

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Posted: Monday, June 2, 2014 10:13 am

The rains over the past week were definitely what the doctor ordered. The 3.32 inches of rain that fell in Galveston over the past five days of the month ended a dry spell that lasted much of April and May.

The May total at Scholes airport was 3.72 inches, which is still 0.60 of an inch below normal for the month, but was sufficient to eliminate most signs of the drought.

The mainland fared even better. The National Weather Service at League City/Dickinson reported a whopping 8.70 inches for the month, well above the long-term average. Better yet, heavy rains over the Galveston area watershed, put much needed water into the reservoirs that bring drinking water to the county.

Overall, much of the state fared well with the recent rains, though areas near Del Rio and from Abilene north to the Wichita Falls and Childress area are still critically dry. More rains will definitely be needed over much of the western 2/3 of the state to keep severe drought from returning.

On a side note, May was cooler than normal in Galveston, with the monthly mean running 2.6 degrees below average. This made the seventh consecutive month that Galveston County has experienced cooler than normal temperatures, the longest such spell since 1976-77, when the county went 11 consecutive months with below normal temperature averages.

Meanwhile, the 2014 Hurricane Season has begun. While there are no systems in the Tropical Atlantic Basin showing immediate signs of development, the National Hurricane Center has pinpointed an area of disturbed weather in the Bay of Campeche that has a 20 percent chance of developing over the coming five days or so.

Forecast models, especially the widely used GFS Model, have been projecting this development for the last week and a half. Still, the model has been trending towards a scenario in which the disturbance fails to develop much as it tracks slowly towards western Cuba and South Florida.

Will the season get off to an early start? We shall see.

Current satellite view of the Gulf of Mexico

Graphical Tropical weather outlook