April was exceedingly pleasant in Galveston County with relatively cool temperatures, plenty of sunshine and fairly low humidity levels. What also distinguished April weather it had a cooler monthly average temperature than March; a circumstance so unusual that we have to go back to 1938 to find another April that was cooler on average than the preceding March.

Even more surprising, the lowest temperature in April was cooler than the lowest temperature recorded for March and the warmest temperature observed in March was warmer than the warmest for April — occurrences so rare that I could not find any precedents checking back to 1900.

Even though it is May and not yet officially a part of the Atlantic hurricane season, there are some signs that we could be off to an early start with tropical weather. A surface low, interacting with an upper-level low over the eastern Gulf of Mexico, is given a 30 percent chance of developing into a tropical or sub-tropical system over the coming two days as it drifts north in the general direction of the Florida Panhandle and a 40 percent chance over the coming five days. High pressure over our area is likely to keep this feature well to the east of Galveston County with little to no impacts locally.

Five-day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook

Surface Forecast

Analysis

Looking a little further ahead and in the more speculative realm, the latest GFS model is suggesting tropical development in the northwest Caribbean in about 10 days. This morning’s European model also has begun to pick up on disturbed weather in that region at about the same time.

While, forecasts this far out are likely to change, nevertheless they are a reminder that the hurricane season is fast approaching and that now is the time to do some planning for the coming season.

Stan Blazyk is a life-long weather enthusiast, long-time Galveston resident and author of "A Century of Galveston Weather." He has written the weather blog for the Galveston County Daily News for more than a decade.

(3) comments

Robert Buckner

Do those computers have any "cool fronts" predicted?

Gary Miller

Recent near or record high temps indicate we are almost as warm as it was in the 30's, 60's and 70's. Tying a high temp from 1933 indicates it was as hot then as now. My reading is that global warming was false reporting with political coverage. Comparing temps now with the 1850's is false facts since 1850 was the last 25 years of the little ice age. After the little ice age we have warmed 2 deg. F. Without that 2 F increase we would still be in the little ice age.

George Croix

Looks like this may be a repeat of 2011 when I planted corn in one area of the lease and the only thing that came up was popcorn......

Welcome to the discussion.

Keep it Clean. Please avoid obscene, vulgar, lewd, racist or sexually-oriented language.
PLEASE TURN OFF YOUR CAPS LOCK.
Don't Threaten. Threats of harming another person will not be tolerated.
Be Truthful. Don't knowingly lie about anyone or anything.
Be Nice. No racism, sexism or any sort of -ism that is degrading to another person.
Be Proactive. Use the 'Report' link on each comment to let us know of abusive posts.
Share with Us. We'd love to hear eyewitness accounts, the history behind an article.

Thank you for Reading!

Please log in, or sign up for a new account and purchase a subscription to read or post comments.