Latest Forecast Track and Warning graphic

Latest Forecast Track and Warning graphic

The disturbance in the Gulf of Mexico has been upgraded to Tropical Storm Cindy. A Tropical Storm Warning extends west from Louisiana to High Island and a Tropical Storm Watch from High Island to San Luis Pass and the west end of Galveston County. At 1 p.m., CDT, Cindy was centered near 25.4 N and 96.5 W, or about 265 miles south of Morgan City, Louisiana Sustained winds were estimated at 45-mph and barometric pressure of 999 MB (29.50”).

Currently, Cindy is nearly stationary. The poorly defined center is hard to pin down as multiple centers of low pressure can be found rotating around the center. The general forecast calls for Cindy to track northwestward and then begin recurving north and northeastward in about 48-hours.

Impacts locally should include elevated tides (which are already occurring), high winds (with gusts up to 40-mph or more near the coast) and possibly heavy rains. If the center moves east of Galveston County, these impacts will be somewhat minimized. If the system tracks more to the west, as a couple of models suggest, then the impacts would be increased.

With much uncertainty, it is best to continue to monitor the storm closely and heed the advice of the National Weather Service, National Hurricane Center and local emergency management personnel.

• Tide Gauge at Pier 21 in Galveston

• 7 day rainfall outlook

Stan Blazyk is a life-long weather enthusiast, long-time Galveston resident and author of "A Century of Galveston Weather." He has written the weather blog for the Galveston County Daily News for more than a decade.

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