Severe weather is breaking out along a squall line in north-central Texas this afternoon. The good news is an upper-level cap (a layer of warm air aloft) may keep the severe weather north of Galveston County. This is particularly true along the coast, where cool, foggy conditions may keep temperatures below the threshold needed to “break the cap”.  Still, I will be watching the radar closely this evening.

Meanwhile, cooler, drier air flowing in behind a spring cold front may set the stage for near ideal conditions over the weekend with sunny skies and temperatures ranging from morning lows in the mid to upper-50s and highs in the 70s. It should seem like spring for sure through Sunday.

Looking further down the road, some models are suggesting that the first weekend of April may resemble March, with a push of fairly chilly air projected to send lows back into the 40s by the April 4 or April 5. While it is too early to say for sure, this would not be all that unusual for early April as the month often has one or two fairly decent cold fronts before warm, humid conditions completely rule the roost.

In any case, I think it is safe to say that we can put truly winter-type conditions behind us and enjoy our rather brief spring season. After all, summer weather will be here before we know it!

Below are some links related to this blog:

Severe Storm Watch area and radar

Day 7 minimum temperature outlook

8-10 day temperature outlook

Stan Blazyk is a life-long weather enthusiast, long-time Galveston resident and author of "A Century of Galveston Weather." He has written the weather blog for the Galveston County Daily News for more than a decade.

(2) comments

Stan Blazyk
Stan Blazyk

Well, Mother Nature is trying not to cooperate. The trough that passed through was a little deeper than anticipated, supporting a better push of chilly air and keeping clouds hanging on a little longer. I still think that conditions will improve considerably later today and tomorrow with the clouds breaking up just to our west.

Robert Buckner

I can surely live with this Stan, keep this weekend's weather in the year round forecast.

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