Near ideal autumn weather continued yesterday as cool temperatures finally brought a real touch of fall. Temperatures dipped well into the 50’s overnight across inland areas of the County and a 61° low yesterday morning in Galveston was the coolest temperature there since a 60° degree reading on April 27.

For many, the change was more than welcome. Even with the current cool spell, temperatures are running nearly 6° above normal for the month and this October is still on track to become the warmest ever since observations began in 1871.

So, what is the outlook for the next few days? Cool weather should linger today with a gradual warm-up beginning as we move towards the weekend. Winds will veer back around to the east and southeast, becoming brisk and gusty by tomorrow as a couple of upper-level disturbances track east into the southern Plains. We could be seeing tide levels of 3 to 3 ½ feet above mean low tides as the easterly winds continue through the weekend.

With the annual Bike Around the Bay event, as well as Artoberfest and the Clean Galveston Walk-About looming this weekend, many people have interest in what kind of weather to expect from Friday through Sunday. Unfortunately, the outlook is not completely promising.

Increasing moisture streaming in from the Gulf of Mexico will lead to more clouds on Thursday and Friday with a good chance of rain from Friday through Sunday. A disturbance moving from near Baja California across Mexico and into Texas could bring a chance of showers or thunderstorms by Friday. An even stronger upper-level trough moving into the center of the country by Sunday will also give us a good chance of rain as the system moves east. Periods of heavy rain cannot be ruled out, especially on Friday and Sunday.

7 day precipitation outlook

In addition, warmer temperatures and increased humidity levels will bring back more summer-like weather before the next cold front reaches the coast late Sunday or early next week.

Stan Blazyk is a life-long weather enthusiast, long-time Galveston resident and author of "A Century of Galveston Weather." He has written the weather blog for the Galveston County Daily News for more than a decade.

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