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Season forecasts and the coming hurricane season - The Galveston County Daily News: Weather Watch

October 25, 2016

Season forecasts and the coming hurricane season

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Welcome to the discussion.


  • Jake Buckner posted at 10:46 am on Sun, Apr 20, 2014.

    Jake Buckner Posts: 2240

    Stan, for purposes of storm forecasting, what do you consider "the upper Texas Coast?" Down to about the Colorado River?

  • Stan Blazyk posted at 4:19 pm on Sun, Apr 20, 2014.

    Stan Blazyk Posts: 119 Staff

    Good question.

    Actually, as far as Southern Region National Weather Service divisions go, the Houston-Galveston NWS extends south to Port O'Connor and Matagorda Bay, but only east through Chambers and Liberty Counties. The Beaumont-Port Arthur area is now with Lake Charles. South of Port O'Connor we run into the Corpus Christi NWS division which extends south through Kleberg County and Kingsville. The Brownsville NWS covers the are of the coast south of the Corpus region to the mouth of the Rio Grande.

    In traditional terms, the upper-Texas coast usually referred to the area from the Sabine southwest to the Matagorda/Palacios area, with the Middle Texas coast referring to the area from Palacios south to north Padre and the Lower Texas coast from that sector down to the mouth of th e Rio Grande. I still prefer this older tradition.

  • gecroix posted at 7:25 pm on Sun, Apr 20, 2014.

    gecroix Posts: 6261

    I'd prefer a repeat of the 25 year break between Alicia and Ike for this area.

  • Jake Buckner posted at 12:17 am on Mon, Apr 21, 2014.

    Jake Buckner Posts: 2240

    Thanks, Stan. I'm with you on the older tradition.

  • Stan Blazyk posted at 7:26 am on Mon, Apr 21, 2014.

    Stan Blazyk Posts: 119 Staff

    That's not a bad way to divide it up. Generally, I would include Matagorda County as well. Any decent sized storm coming in between Freeport and Matagorda will wallop Galveston County fairly well. I notice that when they post warnings for the Upper-Texas coast, they often extend from Palacios or Matagorda eastward.

    But, in reality there is no hard and set division between the regions. Hurricane Carla came in at Port O'Connor and that was considered a landfall on the middle Texas coast.