The dry spell that has left Galveston with a 7.44-inch precipitation deficit since Jan. 1, and on the verge of the driest April since the drought of 2010, shows little sign of abating over the coming few weeks.

While some rain may be possible this weekend and early next week ahead of a fairly vigorous spring cold front, most models are calling for dry conditions to continue over the next couple of weeks.

The good news is that conditions are not approaching critical levels over Galveston County and much of Southeast Texas. The bad news is that the area of exceptional to extreme drought continues expanding from West Central Texas, the South Plains and Panhandle. With warming temperatures, longer hours of sunshine and higher evaporation levels, it will not take much to flip our area into a more problematic condition.

Certainly the last thing we want is to enter the hot days of summer with depleted soil moisture levels and declining reservoir capacities.

While we should see some chances of rain as we move through the last week of April and the first week of May, the outlook is not as encouraging as I would hope for at this point in time.

Latest Texas Drought Monitor Map

6-10 Day Precipitation Outlook

8-14 Day Precipitation Outlook

Stan Blazyk is a life-long weather enthusiast, long-time Galveston resident and author of "A Century of Galveston Weather." He has written the weather blog for the Galveston County Daily News for more than a decade.

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