Winning isn’t everything, especially in high school athletics, but judging by the reactions of the Ball High players, coaches, fans and even the stadium maintenance worker, it was obvious that Friday night’s win meant a lot.
We are in that transition period when more frequent cold fronts start appearing. The current frontal system likely will have some effect on the movement of fish; however, it should be short-lived.
Despite what you hear during tonight's presidential debate, no one man or woman is going to make America great again.
The schooner America, a replica of the fabled racing yacht that coined the phrase America's Cup, will visit Galveston late next month.
An influx of deep Gulf moisture, a low pressure trough to the west and a cold front expected to move into Texas by Sunday will bring us periods of shower and thunderstorm activity through the weekend into next week. Some heavy rain will be possible in our area, especially from Sunday night into late Monday or early Tuesday. In addition, the front should move to the coast by late Monday or early Tuesday, delivering more seasonably appropriate temperatures to Galveston County.
Yesterday saw another day and another late season heat advisory. Based on the temperatures this month and projected warmth over the coming 7 days, this month is on track to become the hottest September in Galveston County since records began in 1871.
We are going into our sixth consecutive day with rainfall being reported in at least some areas of Galveston County. Rainfall amounts overall during this latest wet spell have ranged from around 1 inch over parts of Galveston Island up to nearly 3 inches over some inland locations. Since we are (believe it or not) running below normal for the month so far, I cannot say that the precipitation has been entirely unwelcome. The good news is that wet weather is likely to continue for the next week or two, with heavy amounts possible near the coast.
A mid to upper-level low, an influx of deep moisture and a sluggish cold front that should stall somewhere over Southeast Texas could bring a good chance of rain this weekend. How much rain falls in Galveston County may be dependent upon where the frontal boundary stalls, with some models keeping the front north of Houston, and others taking it south to the coast. Rain chances locally would be higher if the front does make it to the coast before hitting the brakes.
Tropical Depression #9 was upgraded to Tropical Storm Hermine at 1 p.m. today. At that time, Hermine was located at 24.7 N and 88.0 W (or about 395-miles south-southwest of Apalachicola, Florida). The storm was drifting north at 2-mph. Sustained winds were 40-mph and pressure was 1000 MB (29.53"). Tropical Storm Warnings and a Hurricane Watch are now in effect for the west coast of Florida.
A disorganized and weak area of low pressure (99L) located between the northeastern and the coast of Cuba continues to keep forecasters guessing as it moves west-northwest at about 10-mph. Currently, upper-level winds remain unfavorable for development, but should become a little more conducive for development as the system approaches the eastern Gulf of Mexico early next week.
Mostly dry, hot weather has returned to Southeast Texas, but the outlook is for rain chances to improve later this week and remain reasonably high through the early part of next week. The high pressure that built back into our area over the past few days is expected to retreat back north. This will allow for an influx of deep Gulf moisture in association with an upper-level trough expected to move west.
After the hot, dry start to August, the rains of the past five days have refreshed parched yards and gardens and provided a welcome relief from the heat. Rainfall totals in Galveston County as of 8 am this morning, were more than sufficient to replenish soil moisture levels. Totals around the County since Sunday have amounted to 4.72" at Scholes Field in Galveston and 4.94" at the National Weather Service Office in League City. Other measurements around the County include 5.79" in east-central Galveston, 5.62" in Friendswood, 5.57" in LaMarque, 5.50" in Bayou Vista and around 4.50" at sites in Texas City.
An upper-level low that drifted west from Louisiana and sheared out to a low pressure trough over Texas, combined with ample Gulf moisture, has brought some much needed rains to Galveston County. Rain amounts over the past two days have ranged from 1.83” at Scholes Field in Galveston to 2.10”. Some areas in the northern part of the County have received up to 3” so far.
Early August has been a near carbon copy of early July, with dry conditions and heat dominating our weather picture. Both Galveston and League City have recorded only a trace of rain through the first ten days of the month. In addition, temperatures are running 1.7° above normal in Galveston for the month and a whopping 4.4° above normal. Whatever aid that the County received from the rains in late July has been undone by two weeks of withering heat and sun.
Tropical Storm Earl has formed in the Caribbean about 535 miles east of Belize City. At noon, Earl was located near 16.3 N and 80.2 W. Sustained winds were 45-mph with some intensification expected. Central barometric pressure was 1001 MB (29.56"). Earl was moving west at 22-mph and Tropical Storm Warnings and a Hurricane Watch have been issued for Belize, the east coast of the Yucatan and for the northern coast of Honduras.
It is no secret by now for most people that the first disturbances emerging from the Cape Verde region are making their way west across the Tropical Atlantic. In one sense, this marks the beginning of the “Cape Verde” season in which systems form as frequently in the far eastern Atlantic as in the Caribbean or Gulf of Mexico. And, even when they do form further west in the Caribbean or Gulf, they often do so from disorganized disturbances that ultimately find a more favorable environment closer to the United States.
Chances for meaningful rainfall will be increasing for Galveston County over the next 2-5 days. This is good news as Galveston has received less than ½ inch of precipitation so far this month (2 ½ inches less than would be anticipated by July 23). League City has fared a little better with 1.55 inches of rain since July 1. That still is almost 2 inches below normal for this point in the month.
Showers and isolated thunderstorms popped up again today as a combination of fairly deep Gulf moisture and heating created a somewhat unstable atmosphere. Unfortunately, the rains have been sporadic and amounts overall have been fairly light over most of the area. Even a 0.32 inch downpour this morning at Scholes Field and a 0.08 inch shower there yesterday, left the Island with a 2 inch rainfall deficit for the month compared to what would be expected. Meanwhile, as of Sunday evening, the National Weather Service at League City still had a meagre 0.02 inches of rain for the first 17 days of the month.
No need to state the obvious. This month, so far, has been drier and hotter than normal. The official NWS recording station at Scholes Field measured only a trace of rain through the first 10 days of the month. The last time the first third of July was so dry was in 1996, when absolutely no rain was reported for the first third of the month. The same situation holds for the National Weather Service Office in League City, where only 0.02 inch of rain was measured for the first ten days this month.
Weather over the long July 4th Holiday weekend should come close to stereotyped impressions of the summer event. There will be plenty of sunshine and sultry conditions with only a slight chance of early morning thundershowers near the coast and inland during the afternoon hours.
Near to slightly above normal temperatures for this time of year and near normal precipitation should prevail through the end of June. This is about what we would normally expect for this time of year.
By most accounts, the muggy, somewhat oppressive conditions we are now seeing are unlikely to fade anytime soon. Generally forecasts are calling for warmer than normal temperatures for at least the next week or two. Rain chances will also remain low for the rest of this week as high pressure aloft dominates our weather. Temperatures may moderate a little this weekend as the upper-level high pressure ridge shifts west and low-level winds veer to the east, along with a slight increase in precipitation probabilities.
Several people have asked me about the Tropics, especially since Bonnie and Colin have popped up, and I promised a few days ago to write a blog with my thoughts about the upcoming season.
An upper-level low tracking into Texas, combined with an excessively moist atmosphere, will produce several days with heavy rains and thunderstorms. With saturated soils and many rivers already at flood stage, significant flooding cannot be ruled out before the system moves out of Texas this weekend.
With all the rain we’ve had this spring, I was curious to see how this year matched with previous years. What I found is that sometimes impressions can be misleading.
Although we will get somewhat of a break today, and possibly, tomorrow, wetter than normal weather is likely to continue a while longer. More widespread rain is anticipated on Thursday and Friday and the long-term outlooks suggest that we will receive somewhat above normal precipitation through the end of the month.
Ever wish to tour hurricane reconnaissance aircraft or chat with pilots and meteorologists involved in hurricane preparedness and response? If so, then Tuesday will provide a chance to do just that.
Forecasts calling for windy conditions on Monday certainly turned out to be true. The overall average of 18.1 MPH at Galveston today brought the highest daily wind speed average there since April 16-17. Of more importance, the sustained 38-mph wind maximum wind speed and the 47-mph highest wind gust, were both the highest seen this year, eclipsing a 36-mph maximum wind speed and 46-mph gust in February.
A spring cold front moved off the coast yesterday bringing sunshine, lower humidity levels and noticeably cooler weather. Temperatures this morning dipped below 60 degrees in the northern fringes of the County and a 64 degree low in Galveston was the coolest temperature at that location since April 15.
Two rounds of stormy weather will roll through Southeast Texas between now and Sunday, one tomorrow and the other as we move into the weekend. More severe thunderstorms and heavy rain will be possible both events.
Galveston residents are finding near perfect spring weather as the week winds down and we move into the weekend. Following in the wake of Wednesday morning’s storms which brought the heaviest rains to Galveston County since March 9, the break in the weather has given many a chance to return to outdoor activities and pay some attention to their now well-watered gardens.
I am not sure if the current trends will be to everyone’s liking, but the latest American (GFS) and European models are continuing to portray moderate to heavy rainfall for the Galveston County area. The rains are especially needed in Galveston where only 0.01” has been received through the first third of April. League City has had only a trace over the past nine days, but they did benefit from a 1.16” downpour on April 1.
It is difficult to find much fault with our weather of late. Temperatures have been moderate and rain has not been much of a problem. But could the later part of that statement become a problem?
An important public meeting will be held tomorrow, March 31, at the County Commissioner’s Court in Galveston from 6 to 8 pm. This is part of an ongoing series of meetings sponsored by the Gulf Coast Community Protection and Recovery District (GCCPRD). The District was created by Brazoria, Chambers, Galveston, Harris, Jefferson and Orange Counties in response to a state Commission initiated by Governor Perry in the wake of Hurricane Ike. It is responsible for developing plans to address the impacts of future storms on the upper-Texas coast.
A morning low of 48 degrees brought the coldest temperature in three weeks to the Island. Temperatures on the mainland, likewise, hovered near 40 degrees at several locations as a weekend cold front brought the chilliest weather since February to the County. As I mentioned last week, the front made the weekend a little less than ideal for those who wished to frolic in the surf.
If one were to construct a Chamber of Commerce picture of a perfect spring break weekend, it would consist of soft breezes, surf and sand, sunny days, and of course, plenty of happy visitors.
Our spell of near ideal early spring-like weather is due to come to an abrupt end this week.
February was warmer and drier than normal in Galveston County. The monthly average was 2.0° above normal in Galveston and 2.9° above normal in League City. This also marked the first time since 1998 that the temperature failed to dip below 40° in either January or February in Galveston.
The old saying: "If you do not like the Texas weather then just wait a little while,” will be certainly true this week. Rains will move into the area today to end a month-long dry spell. Today’s weather will be just the first in some significant swings in the weather this week.
Our current spate of sunny, mild weather should continue through Saturday, though we are likely to see increasing clouds and humidity levels over the weekend.
There is no doubt that our recent spell of sunny weather, with humidity levels more in line with New Mexico than Southeast Texas, has been welcomed by most. Combined with seasonably cool to mild temperatures, we really couldn’t ask for better weather than we have seen so far this month.
This January was slightly cooler than normal in Galveston County. The month, however, was characterized by persistent cool conditions rather than any really cold weather. In fact, the lowest temperature during the month in Galveston was only 40 degrees, marking the first time that the temperature has failed to dip below the 40 degree mark since 2006. League City, likewise, reported a lowest temperature of 33 degrees during the month, giving that part of the County its first freeze-free January in nearly a decade.
Ever since Mardi Gras was revived in 1985 as public celebration, those attending the event have seen a wide variety of weather, from sleet and freezing temperatures to sunshine and temperatures in the 60’s.
While parts of the Middle Atlantic States are facing a major snow storm and sections of the South likely to see severe weather and possible tornadoes from a developing Winter Storm, Galveston County will likely experience mostly indirect effects as the system moves east across the region.
The formation of Sub-Tropical Storm Alex today and the development of Hurricane Pali in the central Pacific put an exclamation mark on what has been a strange week in the Tropics weather wise. Pali became the earliest hurricane ever in the central Pacific and Sub-Tropical Storm Alex has become the earliest ever named storm in the Atlantic, though Hurricane Alice-2 (there were two storms named Alice that year) did form in the Atlantic on December 30, 1954 and move across the Leeward Islands before dissipating on January 6, 1955.
So far the weather in 2016 has followed a typical El Niño type pattern for our area with frequent periods of rain and generally cool temperatures alternating with brief spells of milder conditions.
It will come as no surprise to anyone to learn that this past year was very wet. Galveston’s official reporting site at Scholes Field ended 2015 with 61.53 inches of rain. This gave the Island its wettest year since 2006. Rainfall amounts over inland areas of the County were even more impressive with a soggy 72.16 inches measured at the National Weather Service office in League City/Dickinson.
As expected, unseasonably mild weather continued across Galveston County on Christmas Day. The 76 degree high yesterday at Scholes Field in Galveston set a new all-time warm maximum temperature for Christmas, breaking the previous high of 75 set in 2012.
On this day (Dec. 21) in 1924, Galveston was pelted with sleet and a biting north wind that held the afternoon temperature to 33 degrees after a frigid 24-degree low.
It is only seven days until Christmas Eve so I am beginning to get questions about what kind of weather we can expect for Christmas Eve and Christmas Day. So far, the forecast models have been fairly consistent, so we can have some confidence in the general picture, though some variations may appear as we actually get closer to Christmas.
An upper-level disturbance and approaching cold front will bring at least two periods of showers and thunderstorms to our area tomorrow into sometime on Sunday. The first will be associated with the upper level disturbance Saturday afternoon. The second will be the result of a cool front moving through the area late Saturday night & Sunday morning.
This will be the first of three blogs looking at Galveston myths/tales about our unique local weather.
This should come as no surprise.
As advertised, Thanksgiving Day weather should be fine locally with partly to mostly cloudy skies, mild temperatures and a slight chance of showers. Those traveling over the weekend, however, may find more challenging conditions, especially if they are headed north and west towards the Dallas/Fort Worth area.