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The Galveston County Daily News: Weather Watch

October 26, 2016

Weather Watch

Tuesday 10/18/2016
All-time temperature record set
Posted: October 18, 2016 - 5:45 pm

The 88 degree high in Galveston today not only set a warm temperature record for the date — eclipsing an 87 degree high in 2007 — but also is the hottest temperature ever seen on the Island this late in the season since observations began in 1871.

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Monday 10/17/2016
Friday to bring cold front and gusty winds, cool down may not last long
Posted: October 17, 2016 - 1:36 pm

In many ways, October has been a repeat of September with much above normal temperatures. Through the 16th, the October monthly average for Galveston was 80.3° (which is 3.9° above normal). If the month were to end today or tomorrow, this October would be the warmest since observations began in 1871. Even with a cold front expected by Friday, the month could match September’s record of being the 3rd warmest ever.

Comments (2)
Monday 10/10/2016
Speaking of strange hurricane tracks
Posted: October 10, 2016 - 12:45 pm

I received a number of calls last week, including one from my wife, asking about some model projections which had Hurricane Michael turning back south, crossing either Florida or Cuba and ending up in the Gulf of Mexico. I answered that it was far too soon to worry about this. Projections that far out often fail to materialize and the odds were fairly slim that the storm would take such an unusual track.

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Tuesday 10/04/2016
Hurricane Matthew, Tropical Storm Nicole and the prospect of a near ideal weekend locally
Posted: October 04, 2016 - 2:00 pm

Dangerous Category 4 Hurricane Matthew, with 145-mph sustained winds, is moving through eastern Cuba today with the Bahamas and parts of the Southeastern U.S. in its projected path. In addition, a second storm, Tropical Storm Nicole has formed northeast of Puerto Rico in the open Atlantic. Meanwhile, Galveston Island basks in warm, early October weather with the prospect looming of another nearly perfect weekend, weather-wise..

Comments (1)
Friday 09/30/2016
Two records, a gradual return to summer-like weather, and a look at the tropics
Posted: September 30, 2016 - 1:31 pm

A 66° reading this morning at Scholes Field in Galveston brought the coolest temperature to the Island since May 27th. Cool, dry high pressure will set the stage for near perfect early autumn weather for this weekend. In addition, the cool-down over the past couple of days will keep this September from going into the record books as the warmest ever since observations began in 1871. Instead, September, 2016 will likely end up being either the 2nd or the 3rd warmest ever, depending on how the temperatures today impact the final monthly average. Still, the relief was more than welcome after a seemingly endless summer.

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Friday 09/23/2016
Front to bring rain and touch of autumn next week, but much remains uncertain
Posted: September 23, 2016 - 2:30 pm

An influx of deep Gulf moisture, a low pressure trough to the west and a cold front expected to move into Texas by Sunday will bring us periods of shower and thunderstorm activity through the weekend into next week. Some heavy rain will be possible in our area, especially from Sunday night into late Monday or early Tuesday. In addition, the front should move to the coast by late Monday or early Tuesday, delivering more seasonably appropriate temperatures to Galveston County.

Comments (2)
Tuesday 09/20/2016
The warmest September ever?
Posted: September 20, 2016 - 11:35 am

Yesterday saw another day and another late season heat advisory. Based on the temperatures this month and projected warmth over the coming 7 days, this month is on track to become the hottest September in Galveston County since records began in 1871.

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Wednesday 09/14/2016
More wet weather, a Gulf disturbance, and questions on when we might see a real cold front
Posted: September 14, 2016 - 2:10 pm

We are going into our sixth consecutive day with rainfall being reported in at least some areas of Galveston County. Rainfall amounts overall during this latest wet spell have ranged from around 1 inch over parts of Galveston Island up to nearly 3 inches over some inland locations. Since we are (believe it or not) running below normal for the month so far, I cannot say that the precipitation has been entirely unwelcome. The good news is that wet weather is likely to continue for the next week or two, with heavy amounts possible near the coast.

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Friday 09/09/2016
Rain chances, a cold front and something to watch in the Gulf of Mexico?
Posted: September 09, 2016 - 2:14 pm

A mid to upper-level low, an influx of deep moisture and a sluggish cold front that should stall somewhere over Southeast Texas could bring a good chance of rain this weekend. How much rain falls in Galveston County may be dependent upon where the frontal boundary stalls, with some models keeping the front north of Houston, and others taking it south to the coast. Rain chances locally would be higher if the front does make it to the coast before hitting the brakes.

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Wednesday 08/31/2016
Tropical Storm Hermine forms in Gulf
Posted: August 31, 2016 - 1:35 pm

Tropical Depression #9 was upgraded to Tropical Storm Hermine at 1 p.m. today. At that time, Hermine was located at 24.7 N and 88.0 W (or about 395-miles south-southwest of Apalachicola, Florida). The storm was drifting north at 2-mph. Sustained winds were 40-mph and pressure was 1000 MB (29.53"). Tropical Storm Warnings and a Hurricane Watch are now in effect for the west coast of Florida.

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Friday 08/26/2016
Monitoring 99-L to the east; a Gulf of Mexico disturbance of interest
Posted: August 26, 2016 - 2:30 pm

A disorganized and weak area of low pressure (99L) located between the northeastern and the coast of Cuba continues to keep forecasters guessing as it moves west-northwest at about 10-mph. Currently, upper-level winds remain unfavorable for development, but should become a little more conducive for development as the system approaches the eastern Gulf of Mexico early next week.

Comments (1)
Wednesday 08/24/2016
Our rain prospects and keeping an eye on the Tropics
Posted: August 24, 2016 - 2:55 pm

Mostly dry, hot weather has returned to Southeast Texas, but the outlook is for rain chances to improve later this week and remain reasonably high through the early part of next week. The high pressure that built back into our area over the past few days is expected to retreat back north. This will allow for an influx of deep Gulf moisture in association with an upper-level trough expected to move west.

Comments (2)
Friday 08/19/2016
Our recent rains and a look at the Tropics
Posted: August 19, 2016 - 2:00 pm

After the hot, dry start to August, the rains of the past five days have refreshed parched yards and gardens and provided a welcome relief from the heat. Rainfall totals in Galveston County as of 8 am this morning, were more than sufficient to replenish soil moisture levels. Totals around the County since Sunday have amounted to 4.72" at Scholes Field in Galveston and 4.94" at the National Weather Service Office in League City. Other measurements around the County include 5.79" in east-central Galveston, 5.62" in Friendswood, 5.57" in LaMarque, 5.50" in Bayou Vista and around 4.50" at sites in Texas City.

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Monday 08/15/2016
Needed rains and a more active Tropics
Posted: August 15, 2016 - 12:36 pm

An upper-level low that drifted west from Louisiana and sheared out to a low pressure trough over Texas, combined with ample Gulf moisture, has brought some much needed rains to Galveston County. Rain amounts over the past two days have ranged from 1.83” at Scholes Field in Galveston to 2.10”. Some areas in the northern part of the County have received up to 3” so far.

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Wednesday 08/10/2016
Rain chances to creep up, but will we see real relief?
Posted: August 10, 2016 - 2:24 pm

Early August has been a near carbon copy of early July, with dry conditions and heat dominating our weather picture. Both Galveston and League City have recorded only a trace of rain through the first ten days of the month. In addition, temperatures are running 1.7° above normal in Galveston for the month and a whopping 4.4° above normal. Whatever aid that the County received from the rains in late July has been undone by two weeks of withering heat and sun.

Comments (3)
Tuesday 08/02/2016
Tropical Storm Earl forms, local impact unlikely
Posted: August 02, 2016 - 12:56 pm

Tropical Storm Earl has formed in the Caribbean about 535 miles east of Belize City. At noon, Earl was located near 16.3 N and 80.2 W. Sustained winds were 45-mph with some intensification expected. Central barometric pressure was 1001 MB (29.56"). Earl was moving west at 22-mph and Tropical Storm Warnings and a Hurricane Watch have been issued for Belize, the east coast of the Yucatan and for the northern coast of Honduras.

Comments (0)
Saturday 07/30/2016
A buzz about the Tropics
Posted: July 30, 2016 - 8:30 pm

It is no secret by now for most people that the first disturbances emerging from the Cape Verde region are making their way west across the Tropical Atlantic. In one sense, this marks the beginning of the “Cape Verde” season in which systems form as frequently in the far eastern Atlantic as in the Caribbean or Gulf of Mexico. And, even when they do form further west in the Caribbean or Gulf, they often do so from disorganized disturbances that ultimately find a more favorable environment closer to the United States.

Comments (0)
Saturday 07/23/2016
Some relief in sight, but will it be enough?
Posted: July 23, 2016 - 9:01 pm

Chances for meaningful rainfall will be increasing for Galveston County over the next 2-5 days. This is good news as Galveston has received less than ½ inch of precipitation so far this month (2 ½ inches less than would be anticipated by July 23). League City has fared a little better with 1.55 inches of rain since July 1. That still is almost 2 inches below normal for this point in the month.

Comments (0)
Monday 07/18/2016
Rains unlikely to make much impact as the heat continues
Posted: July 18, 2016 - 3:51 pm

Showers and isolated thunderstorms popped up again today as a combination of fairly deep Gulf moisture and heating created a somewhat unstable atmosphere. Unfortunately, the rains have been sporadic and amounts overall have been fairly light over most of the area. Even a 0.32 inch downpour this morning at Scholes Field and a 0.08 inch shower there yesterday, left the Island with a 2 inch rainfall deficit for the month compared to what would be expected. Meanwhile, as of Sunday evening, the National Weather Service at League City still had a meagre 0.02 inches of rain for the first 17 days of the month.

Comments (0)
Monday 07/11/2016
July off to the driest start in 20 years
Posted: July 11, 2016 - 2:15 pm

No need to state the obvious. This month, so far, has been drier and hotter than normal. The official NWS recording station at Scholes Field measured only a trace of rain through the first 10 days of the month. The last time the first third of July was so dry was in 1996, when absolutely no rain was reported for the first third of the month. The same situation holds for the National Weather Service Office in League City, where only 0.02 inch of rain was measured for the first ten days this month.

Comments (0)
Friday 07/01/2016
Hot, mostly dry weather in store for the holiday as summer strengthens its grip
Posted: July 01, 2016 - 3:57 pm

Weather over the long July 4th Holiday weekend should come close to stereotyped impressions of the summer event. There will be plenty of sunshine and sultry conditions with only a slight chance of early morning thundershowers near the coast and inland during the afternoon hours.

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Thursday 06/23/2016
Typical summer weather to prevail, but early July could be “interesting”
Posted: June 23, 2016 - 8:39 pm

Near to slightly above normal temperatures for this time of year and near normal precipitation should prevail through the end of June. This is about what we would normally expect for this time of year.

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Tuesday 06/14/2016
Heat to linger, a “chilly” day in June, and a look at the Tropics
Posted: June 14, 2016 - 11:47 am

By most accounts, the muggy, somewhat oppressive conditions we are now seeing are unlikely to fade anytime soon. Generally forecasts are calling for warmer than normal temperatures for at least the next week or two. Rain chances will also remain low for the rest of this week as high pressure aloft dominates our weather. Temperatures may moderate a little this weekend as the upper-level high pressure ridge shifts west and low-level winds veer to the east, along with a slight increase in precipitation probabilities.

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Monday 06/06/2016
Rain and the Tropics: what can we expect?
Posted: June 06, 2016 - 2:45 pm

Several people have asked me about the Tropics, especially since Bonnie and Colin have popped up, and I promised a few days ago to write a blog with my thoughts about the upcoming season.

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Wednesday 06/01/2016
Multi-day rain event to challenge river and municipal drainage systems
Posted: June 01, 2016 - 10:15 am

An upper-level low tracking into Texas, combined with an excessively moist atmosphere, will produce several days with heavy rains and thunderstorms. With saturated soils and many rivers already at flood stage, significant flooding cannot be ruled out before the system moves out of Texas this weekend.

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Tuesday 05/24/2016
Some surprising facts about our “wet” spring in Texas
Posted: May 24, 2016 - 6:30 pm

With all the rain we’ve had this spring, I was curious to see how this year matched with previous years. What I found is that sometimes impressions can be misleading.

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Tuesday 05/17/2016
Wet weather likely to continue
Posted: May 17, 2016 - 10:40 am

Although we will get somewhat of a break today, and possibly, tomorrow, wetter than normal weather is likely to continue a while longer. More widespread rain is anticipated on Thursday and Friday and the long-term outlooks suggest that we will receive somewhat above normal precipitation through the end of the month.

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Friday 05/13/2016
Hurricane awareness tour is big opportunity for locals
Posted: May 13, 2016 - 10:23 am

Ever wish to tour hurricane reconnaissance aircraft or chat with pilots and meteorologists involved in hurricane preparedness and response? If so, then Tuesday will provide a chance to do just that.

Comments (0)
Monday 05/09/2016
Reflections on a windy day
Posted: May 09, 2016 - 10:09 pm

Forecasts calling for windy conditions on Monday certainly turned out to be true. The overall average of 18.1 MPH at Galveston today brought the highest daily wind speed average there since April 16-17. Of more importance, the sustained 38-mph wind maximum wind speed and the 47-mph highest wind gust, were both the highest seen this year, eclipsing a 36-mph maximum wind speed and 46-mph gust in February.

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Tuesday 05/03/2016
Spring cold front brings a welcome break from the rain and humidity
Posted: May 03, 2016 - 10:20 am

A spring cold front moved off the coast yesterday bringing sunshine, lower humidity levels and noticeably cooler weather. Temperatures this morning dipped below 60 degrees in the northern fringes of the County and a 64 degree low in Galveston was the coolest temperature at that location since April 15.

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Tuesday 04/26/2016
Stormy weather to continue
Posted: April 26, 2016 - 5:29 pm

Two rounds of stormy weather will roll through Southeast Texas between now and Sunday, one tomorrow and the other as we move into the weekend. More severe thunderstorms and heavy rain will be possible both events.

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Friday 04/15/2016
Brisk winds, high tides and locally heavy rain in the picture for early next week
Posted: April 15, 2016 - 5:14 pm

Galveston residents are finding near perfect spring weather as the week winds down and we move into the weekend. Following in the wake of Wednesday morning’s storms which brought the heaviest rains to Galveston County since March 9, the break in the weather has given many a chance to return to outdoor activities and pay some attention to their now well-watered gardens.

Comments (0)
Monday 04/11/2016
Outlook brightens for mid-week rains
Posted: April 11, 2016 - 1:44 pm

I am not sure if the current trends will be to everyone’s liking, but the latest American (GFS) and European models are continuing to portray moderate to heavy rainfall for the Galveston County area. The rains are especially needed in Galveston where only 0.01” has been received through the first third of April. League City has had only a trace over the past nine days, but they did benefit from a 1.16” downpour on April 1.

Comments (0)
Thursday 04/07/2016
The weather is nice, but where is the rain?
Posted: April 07, 2016 - 2:48 pm

It is difficult to find much fault with our weather of late. Temperatures have been moderate and rain has not been much of a problem. But could the later part of that statement become a problem?

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Wednesday 03/30/2016
Public meeting on Thursday to discuss hurricane protection plans
Posted: March 30, 2016 - 2:46 pm

An important public meeting will be held tomorrow, March 31, at the County Commissioner’s Court in Galveston from 6 to 8 pm. This is part of an ongoing series of meetings sponsored by the Gulf Coast Community Protection and Recovery District (GCCPRD). The District was created by Brazoria, Chambers, Galveston, Harris, Jefferson and Orange Counties in response to a state Commission initiated by Governor Perry in the wake of Hurricane Ike. It is responsible for developing plans to address the impacts of future storms on the upper-Texas coast.

Comments (1)
Monday 03/21/2016
How will this coming week and weekend compare weather-wise?
Posted: March 21, 2016 - 10:09 am

A morning low of 48 degrees brought the coldest temperature in three weeks to the Island. Temperatures on the mainland, likewise, hovered near 40 degrees at several locations as a weekend cold front brought the chilliest weather since February to the County.  As I mentioned last week, the front made the weekend a little less than ideal for those who wished to frolic in the surf.

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Tuesday 03/15/2016
Weekend weather may be less than ideal
Posted: March 15, 2016 - 6:49 pm

If one were to construct a Chamber of Commerce picture of a perfect spring break weekend, it would consist of soft breezes, surf and sand, sunny days, and of course, plenty of happy visitors.

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Monday 03/07/2016
Monitoring an advancing storm system
Posted: March 07, 2016 - 9:40 am

Our spell of near ideal early spring-like weather is due to come to an abrupt end this week.

Comments (0)
Wednesday 03/02/2016
February’s weather and an early spring?
Posted: March 02, 2016 - 12:53 pm

February was warmer and drier than normal in Galveston County. The monthly average was 2.0° above normal in Galveston and 2.9° above normal in League City. This also marked the first time since 1998 that the temperature failed to dip below 40° in either January or February in Galveston.

Comments (0)
Monday 02/22/2016
Recent rain was first significant weather swing
Posted: February 22, 2016 - 9:49 am

The old saying: "If you do not like the Texas weather then just wait a little while,” will be certainly true this week. Rains will move into the area today to end a month-long dry spell. Today’s weather will be just the first in some significant swings in the weather this week.

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Thursday 02/18/2016
Sunny, mild weather to linger, but rain and cooler weather on the horizon
Posted: February 18, 2016 - 11:15 am

Our current spate of sunny, mild weather should continue through Saturday, though we are likely to see increasing clouds and humidity levels over the weekend.

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Thursday 02/11/2016
Is our near ideal spell of sunny weather a prelude to a dry spring?
Posted: February 11, 2016 - 10:22 am

There is no doubt that our recent spell of sunny weather, with humidity levels more in line with New Mexico than Southeast Texas, has been welcomed by most. Combined with seasonably cool to mild temperatures, we really couldn’t ask for better weather than we have seen so far this month.

Comments (0)
Wednesday 02/03/2016
January’s weather and a look at this weekend
Posted: February 03, 2016 - 5:45 pm

This January was slightly cooler than normal in Galveston County. The month, however, was characterized by persistent cool conditions rather than any really cold weather. In fact, the lowest temperature during the month in Galveston was only 40 degrees, marking the first time that the temperature has failed to dip below the 40 degree mark since 2006. League City, likewise, reported a lowest temperature of 33 degrees during the month, giving that part of the County its first freeze-free January in nearly a decade.

Comments (0)
Tuesday 01/26/2016
A peek at Mardi Gras weather this weekend and beyond
Posted: January 26, 2016 - 2:24 pm

Ever since Mardi Gras was revived in 1985 as public celebration, those attending the event have seen a wide variety of weather, from sleet and freezing temperatures to sunshine and temperatures in the 60’s.

Comments (2)
Wednesday 01/20/2016
Windy conditions likely as cold front and surface low move across the region
Posted: January 20, 2016 - 4:46 pm

While parts of the Middle Atlantic States are facing a major snow storm and sections of the South likely to see severe weather and possible tornadoes from a developing Winter Storm, Galveston County will likely experience mostly indirect effects as the system moves east across the region.

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Wednesday 01/13/2016
Sub-Tropical Storm Alex adds to a very strange week in the Tropics
Posted: January 13, 2016 - 8:34 pm

The formation of Sub-Tropical Storm Alex today and the development of Hurricane Pali in the central Pacific put an exclamation mark on what has been a strange week in the Tropics weather wise.  Pali became the earliest hurricane ever in the central Pacific and Sub-Tropical Storm Alex has become the earliest ever named storm in the Atlantic, though Hurricane Alice-2 (there were two storms named Alice that year) did form in the Atlantic on December 30, 1954 and move across the Leeward Islands before dissipating on January 6, 1955.

Comments (2)
Friday 01/08/2016
Possible thunderstorms tonight and impending cold snap signal more changeable, wet weather
Posted: January 08, 2016 - 1:25 pm

So far the weather in 2016 has followed a typical El Niño type pattern for our area with frequent periods of rain and generally cool temperatures alternating with brief spells of milder conditions. 

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Saturday 01/02/2016
Looking back at our weather in 2015 and a glance ahead
Posted: January 02, 2016 - 4:15 pm

It will come as no surprise to anyone to learn that this past year was very wet. Galveston’s official reporting site at Scholes Field ended 2015 with 61.53 inches of rain. This gave the Island its wettest year since 2006. Rainfall amounts over inland areas of the County were even more impressive with a soggy 72.16 inches measured at the National Weather Service office in League City/Dickinson.

Comments (0)
Saturday 12/26/2015
High tides and a threat of severe storms to herald a return to more wintry weather
Posted: December 26, 2015 - 3:46 pm

As expected, unseasonably mild weather continued across Galveston County on Christmas Day. The 76 degree high yesterday at Scholes Field in Galveston set a new all-time warm maximum temperature for Christmas, breaking the previous high of 75 set in 2012.

Comments (0)
Monday 12/21/2015
I’m dreaming of a mild Christmas
Posted: December 21, 2015 - 9:15 pm

On this day (Dec. 21) in 1924, Galveston was pelted with sleet and a biting north wind that held the afternoon temperature to 33 degrees after a frigid 24-degree low.

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