A city project to build sidewalks along Stewart Road in Galveston has been delayed, not by weather or broken equipment but by an apparent errant key stroke.
If you're wondering what the Falcons are doing in the NFL's version of the Final Four with the Patriots, Steelers and Packers, you aren't alone.
A Gale Warning for gusts up to 50-mph has been issued for Galveston Bay and off-shore waters on Sunday. In addition, a Wind Advisory is effect for Galveston County with winds of 20-30 mph expected and gusts to 35-mph (or higher right along the coast).
People have asked me over the past couple of days about the chances of rain here. It seems that they keep hearing about thunderstorms moving into the area and are wondering where these rains are. I ran into this also with the heavy rain event in early December.
A 30° low Saturday morning brought the first freeze to Galveston in two years (the last being a 31° low on January 8, 2015). The 25° low in League City was the coldest at that location in three years (a 23° low in January, 2014). Galveston’s minimum temperature on Saturday was also the coldest at that location since a 28° reading in January, 2014.
Rainfall of slightly over an inch in Galveston on December 31st, placed December, 2016 in the record books as the wettest December since official observations began in 1871. Temperatures this past month also were well above normal, with the monthly average running 6.0° above normal in League City and 5.6° above normal in Galveston. This gave Galveston its 4th warmest December ever.
With 10.04 inches of rain so far this month, Galveston appeared to be on track for its wettest December ever just a few days ago.
A pattern change will keep the coldest air bottled up well to our north as we move into Christmas weekend. In fact, sunny skies and somewhat milder conditions today are a good indication that we may be able to exchange our parkas for short-sleeved shirts this weekend as we rebound from the coldest outbreak so far this season. Monday morning’s low temperatures reached 32° in League City and 37° in Galveston, giving both inland and coastal locations their coldest temperatures since last winter.
An 80 degree temperature at Scholes Field this afternoon tied the record for the warmest reading ever at that location for the month of December. Meanwhile, temperatures hovering from the upper-70’s to the low-80’s over inland areas of the County prompted many people to abandon winter-wear for summer outfits as they hit the local stores and malls.
The welcome sight of bright sunshine greeted area residents today, following record rains that brought up to 14.77 inches to parts of the County. Elsewhere, Scholes Field officially measured 9.83 inches during the rain event and League City a more modest, though hardly inconsequential, 6.59 inches. Galveston needs only 0.46 inch of rain through the 31st to have its wettest December ever.
A frontal boundary/surface trough expected to set up along the Texas coast this coming weekend, combined with a series of upper-level disturbances, is expected to bring heavy rain, brisk winds, rough seas and elevated tides to Upper-Texas coast and Southeast Texas this weekend.
This week brings one of the longest and busiest holidays of all with Thanksgiving and the long Thanksgiving week looming. With many people planning to travel during this holiday, I thought it would be good to see what kind of weather we may have during this time.
Unless you are a gardener or ready for real fall weather to set in, this week should be near ideal. Mostly sunny skies, with cool to mild nights and mild to warm afternoons will continue through Thursday or Friday. In fact, temperatures may even reach 80° over inland areas of the County by Thursday or Friday.
As anyone who lives on Galveston Island or anywhere on the mainland is aware, this is not your typical weekend. An estimated 400,000 people will attend the Lone Star Rally in Galveston, adding to traffic congestion from Houston to the coast.
October 2016 went into the record books as the 2nd warmest October since observations began 145 years ago. The monthly average of 78.5 ° on the Island was 4.2° above normal. Meanwhile, League City reported temperatures running 5.1° above long-term means. In Galveston, the temperature failed to reach at least 80° on only two days during the month. This unseasonable, combined with the 3rd warmest September of record, puts Galveston County on track for the warmest autumn ever.
If you like summer, then this fall is a dream come true.
The 88 degree high in Galveston today not only set a warm temperature record for the date — eclipsing an 87 degree high in 2007 — but also is the hottest temperature ever seen on the Island this late in the season since observations began in 1871.
In many ways, October has been a repeat of September with much above normal temperatures. Through the 16th, the October monthly average for Galveston was 80.3° (which is 3.9° above normal). If the month were to end today or tomorrow, this October would be the warmest since observations began in 1871. Even with a cold front expected by Friday, the month could match September’s record of being the 3rd warmest ever.
I received a number of calls last week, including one from my wife, asking about some model projections which had Hurricane Michael turning back south, crossing either Florida or Cuba and ending up in the Gulf of Mexico. I answered that it was far too soon to worry about this. Projections that far out often fail to materialize and the odds were fairly slim that the storm would take such an unusual track.
Dangerous Category 4 Hurricane Matthew, with 145-mph sustained winds, is moving through eastern Cuba today with the Bahamas and parts of the Southeastern U.S. in its projected path. In addition, a second storm, Tropical Storm Nicole has formed northeast of Puerto Rico in the open Atlantic. Meanwhile, Galveston Island basks in warm, early October weather with the prospect looming of another nearly perfect weekend, weather-wise..
A 66° reading this morning at Scholes Field in Galveston brought the coolest temperature to the Island since May 27th. Cool, dry high pressure will set the stage for near perfect early autumn weather for this weekend. In addition, the cool-down over the past couple of days will keep this September from going into the record books as the warmest ever since observations began in 1871. Instead, September, 2016 will likely end up being either the 2nd or the 3rd warmest ever, depending on how the temperatures today impact the final monthly average. Still, the relief was more than welcome after a seemingly endless summer.
An influx of deep Gulf moisture, a low pressure trough to the west and a cold front expected to move into Texas by Sunday will bring us periods of shower and thunderstorm activity through the weekend into next week. Some heavy rain will be possible in our area, especially from Sunday night into late Monday or early Tuesday. In addition, the front should move to the coast by late Monday or early Tuesday, delivering more seasonably appropriate temperatures to Galveston County.
Yesterday saw another day and another late season heat advisory. Based on the temperatures this month and projected warmth over the coming 7 days, this month is on track to become the hottest September in Galveston County since records began in 1871.
We are going into our sixth consecutive day with rainfall being reported in at least some areas of Galveston County. Rainfall amounts overall during this latest wet spell have ranged from around 1 inch over parts of Galveston Island up to nearly 3 inches over some inland locations. Since we are (believe it or not) running below normal for the month so far, I cannot say that the precipitation has been entirely unwelcome. The good news is that wet weather is likely to continue for the next week or two, with heavy amounts possible near the coast.
A mid to upper-level low, an influx of deep moisture and a sluggish cold front that should stall somewhere over Southeast Texas could bring a good chance of rain this weekend. How much rain falls in Galveston County may be dependent upon where the frontal boundary stalls, with some models keeping the front north of Houston, and others taking it south to the coast. Rain chances locally would be higher if the front does make it to the coast before hitting the brakes.
Tropical Depression #9 was upgraded to Tropical Storm Hermine at 1 p.m. today. At that time, Hermine was located at 24.7 N and 88.0 W (or about 395-miles south-southwest of Apalachicola, Florida). The storm was drifting north at 2-mph. Sustained winds were 40-mph and pressure was 1000 MB (29.53"). Tropical Storm Warnings and a Hurricane Watch are now in effect for the west coast of Florida.
A disorganized and weak area of low pressure (99L) located between the northeastern and the coast of Cuba continues to keep forecasters guessing as it moves west-northwest at about 10-mph. Currently, upper-level winds remain unfavorable for development, but should become a little more conducive for development as the system approaches the eastern Gulf of Mexico early next week.
Mostly dry, hot weather has returned to Southeast Texas, but the outlook is for rain chances to improve later this week and remain reasonably high through the early part of next week. The high pressure that built back into our area over the past few days is expected to retreat back north. This will allow for an influx of deep Gulf moisture in association with an upper-level trough expected to move west.
After the hot, dry start to August, the rains of the past five days have refreshed parched yards and gardens and provided a welcome relief from the heat. Rainfall totals in Galveston County as of 8 am this morning, were more than sufficient to replenish soil moisture levels. Totals around the County since Sunday have amounted to 4.72" at Scholes Field in Galveston and 4.94" at the National Weather Service Office in League City. Other measurements around the County include 5.79" in east-central Galveston, 5.62" in Friendswood, 5.57" in LaMarque, 5.50" in Bayou Vista and around 4.50" at sites in Texas City.
An upper-level low that drifted west from Louisiana and sheared out to a low pressure trough over Texas, combined with ample Gulf moisture, has brought some much needed rains to Galveston County. Rain amounts over the past two days have ranged from 1.83” at Scholes Field in Galveston to 2.10”. Some areas in the northern part of the County have received up to 3” so far.
Early August has been a near carbon copy of early July, with dry conditions and heat dominating our weather picture. Both Galveston and League City have recorded only a trace of rain through the first ten days of the month. In addition, temperatures are running 1.7° above normal in Galveston for the month and a whopping 4.4° above normal. Whatever aid that the County received from the rains in late July has been undone by two weeks of withering heat and sun.
Tropical Storm Earl has formed in the Caribbean about 535 miles east of Belize City. At noon, Earl was located near 16.3 N and 80.2 W. Sustained winds were 45-mph with some intensification expected. Central barometric pressure was 1001 MB (29.56"). Earl was moving west at 22-mph and Tropical Storm Warnings and a Hurricane Watch have been issued for Belize, the east coast of the Yucatan and for the northern coast of Honduras.
It is no secret by now for most people that the first disturbances emerging from the Cape Verde region are making their way west across the Tropical Atlantic. In one sense, this marks the beginning of the “Cape Verde” season in which systems form as frequently in the far eastern Atlantic as in the Caribbean or Gulf of Mexico. And, even when they do form further west in the Caribbean or Gulf, they often do so from disorganized disturbances that ultimately find a more favorable environment closer to the United States.
Chances for meaningful rainfall will be increasing for Galveston County over the next 2-5 days. This is good news as Galveston has received less than ½ inch of precipitation so far this month (2 ½ inches less than would be anticipated by July 23). League City has fared a little better with 1.55 inches of rain since July 1. That still is almost 2 inches below normal for this point in the month.
Showers and isolated thunderstorms popped up again today as a combination of fairly deep Gulf moisture and heating created a somewhat unstable atmosphere. Unfortunately, the rains have been sporadic and amounts overall have been fairly light over most of the area. Even a 0.32 inch downpour this morning at Scholes Field and a 0.08 inch shower there yesterday, left the Island with a 2 inch rainfall deficit for the month compared to what would be expected. Meanwhile, as of Sunday evening, the National Weather Service at League City still had a meagre 0.02 inches of rain for the first 17 days of the month.
No need to state the obvious. This month, so far, has been drier and hotter than normal. The official NWS recording station at Scholes Field measured only a trace of rain through the first 10 days of the month. The last time the first third of July was so dry was in 1996, when absolutely no rain was reported for the first third of the month. The same situation holds for the National Weather Service Office in League City, where only 0.02 inch of rain was measured for the first ten days this month.
Weather over the long July 4th Holiday weekend should come close to stereotyped impressions of the summer event. There will be plenty of sunshine and sultry conditions with only a slight chance of early morning thundershowers near the coast and inland during the afternoon hours.
Near to slightly above normal temperatures for this time of year and near normal precipitation should prevail through the end of June. This is about what we would normally expect for this time of year.
By most accounts, the muggy, somewhat oppressive conditions we are now seeing are unlikely to fade anytime soon. Generally forecasts are calling for warmer than normal temperatures for at least the next week or two. Rain chances will also remain low for the rest of this week as high pressure aloft dominates our weather. Temperatures may moderate a little this weekend as the upper-level high pressure ridge shifts west and low-level winds veer to the east, along with a slight increase in precipitation probabilities.
Several people have asked me about the Tropics, especially since Bonnie and Colin have popped up, and I promised a few days ago to write a blog with my thoughts about the upcoming season.
An upper-level low tracking into Texas, combined with an excessively moist atmosphere, will produce several days with heavy rains and thunderstorms. With saturated soils and many rivers already at flood stage, significant flooding cannot be ruled out before the system moves out of Texas this weekend.
With all the rain we’ve had this spring, I was curious to see how this year matched with previous years. What I found is that sometimes impressions can be misleading.
Although we will get somewhat of a break today, and possibly, tomorrow, wetter than normal weather is likely to continue a while longer. More widespread rain is anticipated on Thursday and Friday and the long-term outlooks suggest that we will receive somewhat above normal precipitation through the end of the month.
Ever wish to tour hurricane reconnaissance aircraft or chat with pilots and meteorologists involved in hurricane preparedness and response? If so, then Tuesday will provide a chance to do just that.
Forecasts calling for windy conditions on Monday certainly turned out to be true. The overall average of 18.1 MPH at Galveston today brought the highest daily wind speed average there since April 16-17. Of more importance, the sustained 38-mph wind maximum wind speed and the 47-mph highest wind gust, were both the highest seen this year, eclipsing a 36-mph maximum wind speed and 46-mph gust in February.
A spring cold front moved off the coast yesterday bringing sunshine, lower humidity levels and noticeably cooler weather. Temperatures this morning dipped below 60 degrees in the northern fringes of the County and a 64 degree low in Galveston was the coolest temperature at that location since April 15.
Two rounds of stormy weather will roll through Southeast Texas between now and Sunday, one tomorrow and the other as we move into the weekend. More severe thunderstorms and heavy rain will be possible both events.
Galveston residents are finding near perfect spring weather as the week winds down and we move into the weekend. Following in the wake of Wednesday morning’s storms which brought the heaviest rains to Galveston County since March 9, the break in the weather has given many a chance to return to outdoor activities and pay some attention to their now well-watered gardens.
I am not sure if the current trends will be to everyone’s liking, but the latest American (GFS) and European models are continuing to portray moderate to heavy rainfall for the Galveston County area. The rains are especially needed in Galveston where only 0.01” has been received through the first third of April. League City has had only a trace over the past nine days, but they did benefit from a 1.16” downpour on April 1.
It is difficult to find much fault with our weather of late. Temperatures have been moderate and rain has not been much of a problem. But could the later part of that statement become a problem?
An important public meeting will be held tomorrow, March 31, at the County Commissioner’s Court in Galveston from 6 to 8 pm. This is part of an ongoing series of meetings sponsored by the Gulf Coast Community Protection and Recovery District (GCCPRD). The District was created by Brazoria, Chambers, Galveston, Harris, Jefferson and Orange Counties in response to a state Commission initiated by Governor Perry in the wake of Hurricane Ike. It is responsible for developing plans to address the impacts of future storms on the upper-Texas coast.
A morning low of 48 degrees brought the coldest temperature in three weeks to the Island. Temperatures on the mainland, likewise, hovered near 40 degrees at several locations as a weekend cold front brought the chilliest weather since February to the County. As I mentioned last week, the front made the weekend a little less than ideal for those who wished to frolic in the surf.